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Which banks can surprise you with Q4 numbers? Tight liquidity, risk aversion and financiers' growth moderation are likely to take a toll on Q4FY19 earnings. However, it's not all that grim either as:<br /> a) improving system-wide liquidity & 30-40bps fall in wholesale borrowing cost will boost NBFCs' core performance<br /> b) though disbursement growth for HFCs (Dewan, Indiabulls) & auto financiers will be below trend, leading players like HDFC, LICHF, Bajaj, L&TFH, etc., are likely to sustain momentum<br /> c) banks are relatively better positioned & their core operating performance will be steady.<br /> <br /> Here is an analysis by Edelweiss Securities | Video: Why D-St does not trust Congress to provide stability Dalal Street's well-known preference for NDA's return to power in the ongoing general elections is based on a simple reason: policy stability. Why doesn't the market trust the Congress to provide the same. Sanjay Mookim, India equity strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, has the answer. | |
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